Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000285 0.000319 0.000356 0.000398 0.000447 0.000500 0.000563
2025-01-05 0.000230 0.000280 0.000339 0.000415 0.000510 0.000625 0.000777
2025-01-12 0.000187 0.000242 0.000311 0.000406 0.000534 0.000702 0.000941
2025-01-19 0.000153 0.000208 0.000281 0.000386 0.000537 0.000746 0.001064
2025-01-26 0.000136 0.000193 0.000271 0.000391 0.000570 0.000833 0.001258
2025-02-02 0.000127 0.000186 0.000273 0.000409 0.000624 0.000957 0.001523
2025-02-09 0.000114 0.000172 0.000260 0.000405 0.000642 0.001025 0.001710
2025-02-16 0.000105 0.000163 0.000254 0.000408 0.000672 0.001116 0.001949
2025-02-23 0.000095 0.000152 0.000244 0.000404 0.000688 0.001185 0.002158
2025-03-02 0.000089 0.000145 0.000238 0.000407 0.000715 0.001276 0.002421
2025-03-09 0.000082 0.000137 0.000231 0.000406 0.000735 0.001356 0.002674
2025-03-16 0.000073 0.000125 0.000215 0.000387 0.000720 0.001367 0.002789
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000120 0.000211 0.000389 0.000747 0.001465 0.003113
2025-03-30 0.000066 0.000118 0.000213 0.000405 0.000804 0.001638 0.003634
2025-04-06 0.000061 0.000111 0.000203 0.000397 0.000810 0.001700 0.003918
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000101 0.000189 0.000377 0.000789 0.001704 0.004062
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000098 0.000187 0.000382 0.000821 0.001829 0.004532
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000097 0.000191 0.000399 0.000886 0.002042 0.005276
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000093 0.000184 0.000395 0.000898 0.002130 0.005701
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000090 0.000182 0.000399 0.000930 0.002272 0.006309
2025-05-18 0.000042 0.000086 0.000177 0.000395 0.000943 0.002367 0.006801
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000083 0.000174 0.000397 0.000972 0.002510 0.007474
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000080 0.000170 0.000396 0.000992 0.002631 0.008103